I should stress that even though the estimated return looks precise, it is necessarily based on figures which will prove more and more in-accurate as we look further and further into the future.
I use the tool as a sanity check. Given my assumptions about the earnings power of the company, I want to know if the company looks outrageously cheap (or expensive). So please keep this in mind.
How to use the tool
The following inputs are required by the tool:
- Current Price - this is the current price of the shares in dollars and cents
- Return on Equity - this is the ROE or Return On Equity generated by the company. This is available on more stock research websites.
- Dividend Payout Ratio - the percentage of earnings paid out by the company as dividends
- Earnings Per Share - the current earnings per share
- Number of Years - the number of years over which to calculate the returns
- End PE - this is the estimated price earnings ratio the company will trade on at the end of the valuation period
Please note: the tool is still very rough. Let me know if it is at all useful and I will polish it up a little.
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